Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.268187 3.609169 3.978477 4.409488 4.900340 5.443836 6.093776
2025-08-31 2.756409 3.208589 3.731914 4.387156 5.192347 6.158256 7.417944
2025-09-07 2.502456 3.028402 3.668010 4.513129 5.615590 7.026459 9.004240
2025-09-14 2.259387 2.816343 3.519941 4.489632 5.816449 7.606552 10.272586
2025-09-21 2.062681 2.634587 3.380265 4.445117 5.962980 8.107489 11.478702
2025-09-28 1.849667 2.407947 3.154173 4.250384 5.865408 8.235122 12.132488
2025-10-05 1.745681 2.317165 3.100760 4.286145 6.094186 8.856197 13.626960
2025-10-12 1.669232 2.256408 3.081095 4.364026 6.387459 9.602936 15.435371
2025-10-19 1.600760 2.200324 3.061283 4.436024 6.673835 10.366872 17.392685
2025-10-26 1.537155 2.145657 3.037551 4.496799 6.944110 11.131626 19.477194
2025-11-02 1.472295 2.083926 2.997266 4.525351 7.159945 11.823569 21.539820
2025-11-09 1.376078 1.968372 2.865448 4.392207 7.081348 11.969447 22.518212
2025-11-16 1.301777 1.883530 2.778346 4.330119 7.128699 12.368824 24.137813
2025-11-23 1.242314 1.818257 2.718011 4.308337 7.246654 12.919776 26.206835
2025-11-30 1.217088 1.805186 2.740683 4.431492 7.646152 14.085075 29.956504
2025-12-07 1.165748 1.746889 2.684361 4.408525 7.761398 14.676928 32.445331
2025-12-14 1.114758 1.686206 2.619937 4.365009 7.830371 15.177168 34.814488
2025-12-21 1.041826 1.585653 2.481811 4.174621 7.583599 14.946068 35.163256
2025-12-28 1.012475 1.556209 2.464415 4.209588 7.804410 15.806329 38.780242
2026-01-04 0.991668 1.539910 2.468670 4.285733 8.119478 16.934143 43.501674
2026-01-11 0.971089 1.522786 2.470156 4.356120 8.429306 18.098337 48.697757
2026-01-18 0.949975 1.503554 2.466477 4.415531 8.720901 19.264390 54.287492
2026-01-25 0.925535 1.477220 2.448137 4.443440 8.943369 20.287417 59.739233